Ufc 83

Dork8503 · #1 (**permalink**) 04-11-2008, 03:40 PM

Sorry, took so long. Been having problems with school an shit.

twankydawg · #2 (**permalink**) 04-11-2008, 06:03 PM

Serra is the favorite to win with the tko/ko but not the fight?

Dork8503 · #3 (**permalink**) 04-11-2008, 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by twankydawg

Serra is the favorite to win with the tko/ko but not the fight?

Serra TKOed GSP last time.

Thats why its like that.

Also when is the last time Serra has been ko'ed or subbed.

It was a long ass time ago with Shonnie. But Serra has never been subbed as far as i know.

Gsp was tko'ed by Serra or tapped from punches, or whatever you wanna say happen the last time they fought, plus Serra is a bjj black belt and Hughes Subbed GSP.

I know it seems weird, but it makes sense in a weird way to me lol.

All i mean is Serra is more likely to tko/ko GSP based on how fast and easy he made it look last time.

neonatural45 · #4 (**permalink**) 04-11-2008, 08:33 PM

Starnes is the one to bet on out of this group for sure

and blah, im just curious. You seem to be the only Stout fan in the world (and a big one at that) why bet against him?

dbader08 · #5 (**permalink**) 04-11-2008, 08:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dork8503

Serra TKOed GSP last time.

Thats why its like that.

Also when is the last time Serra has been ko'ed or subbed.

It was a long ass time ago with Shonnie. But Serra has never been subbed as far as i know.

Gsp was tko'ed by Serra or tapped from punches, or whatever you wanna say happen the last time they fought, plus Serra is a bjj black belt and Hughes Subbed GSP.

I know it seems weird, but it makes sense in a weird way to me lol.

All i mean is Serra is more likely to tko/ko GSP based on how fast and easy he made it look last time.

which was also a long time ago...lol

D.O. · #6 (**permalink**) 04-15-2008, 05:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dork8503

Serra TKOed GSP last time.

Thats why its like that.

Also when is the last time Serra has been ko'ed or subbed.

It was a long ass time ago with Shonnie. But Serra has never been subbed as far as i know.

Gsp was tko'ed by Serra or tapped from punches, or whatever you wanna say happen the last time they fought, plus Serra is a bjj black belt and Hughes Subbed GSP.

I know it seems weird, but it makes sense in a weird way to me lol.

All i mean is Serra is more likely to tko/ko GSP based on how fast and easy he made it look last time.

Your line of thinking makes sense, but this would be why I think it is flawed.

If I bet on Matt Serra to win the fight, I'm gonna get 5.6 to 1 odds on it.

Now if I bet on Matt Serra to win by TKO/KO, a specific way of winning, I'm going to get 1 to 1.5 odds on it? So going out on a limb and picking a specific way for a huge underdog to win isn't rewarded, but would actually be borderline stupid to bet on. If you think Serra is going to win by TKO, you'd bet on him to just straight win, because the odds on the specific type of win is awful.

So the line of thinking makes sense, but is entirely flawed in the way it was executed.

dbader08 · #7 (**permalink**) 04-15-2008, 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by D.O.

Your line of thinking makes sense, but this would be why I think it is flawed.

If I bet on Matt Serra to win the fight, I'm gonna get 5.6 to 1 odds on it.

Now if I bet on Matt Serra to win by TKO/KO, a specific way of winning, I'm going to get 1 to 1.5 odds on it? So going out on a limb and picking a specific way for a huge underdog to win isn't rewarded, but would actually be borderline stupid to bet on. If you think Serra is going to win by TKO, you'd bet on him to just straight win, because the odds on the specific type of win is awful.

So the line of thinking makes sense, but is entirely flawed in the way it was executed.

excellent point...that being said, who's the idiot that actually bet money on serra getting the KO? lol

Dork8503 · #8 (**permalink**) 04-15-2008, 08:55 PM

Serra's last fight was GSP, and he tkoed GSP, in the first round.

I didn't make the odds for the fight, I made the odds for the tko/ko stuff.

If it were up to me the odds would be much closer for the fight.

But in regards to the ko/tko how would Serra be the underdog in the sense seeing his last fight he tkoed GSP in under 4 minutes.

If you don't like those odds don't bet on them.

dbader08 · #9 (**permalink**) 04-15-2008, 10:50 PM

its just the fact that you can vote for serra to just win and get more points than actually betting for a specific finish (tko)

it would make no sense whatsoever for anyone to bet for serra to win by tko, considering you would get more points to just bet for serra to win..

twankydawg · #10 (**permalink**) 04-16-2008, 01:46 PM

My lock this card is Demian Maia, too bad i'm only getting even money!!