My UFC 68 Breakdowns w/ Odds and Predictions

Luis Cruz · #1 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 03:31 PM

Here's my breakdown w/ predictions along with a new little added piece. The odds are displayed for those available and i give them a ranking on their risk. Check it out.

http://www.mmanews.com/ufc/Luis-Cruz...-Opinions.html

Dork8503 · #2 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 03:45 PM

i agree with all your picks, but im kinda on a toss up with fitch, but once i make my mind up on that fight i agree 100% with those

The Sundance Kid · #3 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 04:33 PM

I don't quite understand your Risk Rating system. Everything looks pretty good but i have Fitch winning, along with Dent, and will be hoping like hell that Randy pulls it out.

Noob · #4 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 04:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dork8503

i agree with all your picks, but im kinda on a toss up with fitch, but once i make my mind up on that fight i agree 100% with those

War Fitch. He takes it.

Luis Cruz · #5 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Sundance Kid

I don't quite understand your Risk Rating system. Everything looks pretty good but i have Fitch winning, along with Dent, and will be hoping like hell that Randy pulls it out.

I was hoping my explaination would be good, i tried. But what i did was, since i think i'm pretty decent when it comes to placing good bets, is show everyone what the betting odds were for the fight and just ranked them based on my simple opinion of how good of a risk i thought it was to place a bet on the underdog in that fight. 1 being very bad and 5 being very excellent. Almost like a those guys whose job it is to tell you who to bet on in football, baseball, etc. It was just something a little extra for fun.

I think this was a much better explanation than i wrote on there now that i read it again.

leedogg900 · #6 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 05:27 PM

im gonna have to go with fitch instead of luigi but the rest looks good

Noob · #7 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 05:28 PM

I agree with most everything you wrote. I give Fitch a better chance against Luigi, but other than that it was good. Well-written.

The Sundance Kid · #8 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Luis Cruz

I was hoping my explaination would be good, i tried. But what i did was, since i think i'm pretty decent when it comes to placing good bets, is show everyone what the betting odds were for the fight and just ranked them based on my simple opinion of how good of a risk i thought it was to place a bet on the underdog in that fight. 1 being very bad and 5 being very excellent. Almost like a those guys whose job it is to tell you who to bet on in football, baseball, etc. It was just something a little extra for fun.

I think this was a much better explanation than i wrote on there now that i read it again.

I think I understand now, but I don't agree that Hughes is a risky bet, maybe not a smart one because you have too bet so much money to win anything. But I think Hughes (you ranked. 1/2) is much more likely to win his fight than Hammil (you ranked 3.5)

Bran · #9 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 05:47 PM

yeah, like most people here i disagree with the fitch fight pick, but everything else is in order

Matt Boone · #10 (**permalink**) 03-01-2007, 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Sundance Kid

I think I understand now, but I don't agree that Hughes is a risky bet, maybe not a smart one because you have too bet so much money to win anything. But I think Hughes (you ranked. 1/2) is much more likely to win his fight than Hammil (you ranked 3.5)

That's the whole point lol. It's not a take on the fight itself, it's a take on the odds for the fight. And an explanation to his system - it's basically telling you on a scale of 1 to 5 how risky a bet is. If you see like 2 or 1 or under, it's like stay away from this. 4 or 5 and it's like yo, place the money this is a sure thing. It's like an advice system on gambling.