Quote:
Originally Posted by Dork8503
In boxing there are odds higher an lower for the same guy.
Lets say Tyson was still fighting in his prime, odds were be heavily favored for him to win within the first 3 rounds by ko, but you could get on him to win just out right for little money, or bet on a 12 round UD for a huge sum.
Now Who is more likely to finish the fight by tko or ko, GSP or Serra. Serra is, he finished GSP the last time they fought.
Just because Serra is the favorite to win the fight, doesn't mean i should make him the underdog to win by tko or ko.
Like i said, if you don't like the odds don't bet on them. I put them there for something extra.
Most people bet on more then one thing, i understand betting on serra to win is much better then Serra by tko. But i couldn't just put GSP to win by tko an not have a option for Serra.
And why would Serras odds for a sub be for the underdog, he has amazing bjj.
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No one is saying that your logic doesn't make sense. It does make sense. We're saying the execution of that logic is what doesn't make sense.
You have Matt Serra a 560/100 underdog to win the fight, yet the odds of him winning, in a specific fashion (TKO/KO) are better than the odds given to just pick him to win the fight (which includes TKO/KO/Sub/Decision.)
Your logic makes sense. Serra won by TKO/KO last time, and thus you can argue he's more likely to win this fight by KO than GSP. However, in order to properly execute what you're trying to do, the odds of him winning by TKO/KO HAVE to be worse than 560/100 (same goes for the Serra by sub odds.)
It's not even the fact that there is no incentive to make that bet, but you'd never in a million years see odds like that. It's like betting on a baseball game, and getting 300/100 odds that the Nationals beat the Mets, and then getting 100/150 that the Nationals beat the Mets by 3 runs and the arguement made for odds like that was that if the Nationals win, they're gonna win big. The more specific you get with your bets, the better odds you should be getting.
But I get it, you don't want to admit that you goofed a bit, so if we don't like the odds, don't bet on it. Just trying to help tho. Don't take it as a personal attack, because I do understand what you were trying to do.