
04-15-2008, 08:44 PM
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Contender
Reputation: 500+
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 865
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Quote:
Originally Posted by D.O.
Your line of thinking makes sense, but this would be why I think it is flawed.
If I bet on Matt Serra to win the fight, I'm gonna get 5.6 to 1 odds on it.
Now if I bet on Matt Serra to win by TKO/KO, a specific way of winning, I'm going to get 1 to 1.5 odds on it? So going out on a limb and picking a specific way for a huge underdog to win isn't rewarded, but would actually be borderline stupid to bet on. If you think Serra is going to win by TKO, you'd bet on him to just straight win, because the odds on the specific type of win is awful.
So the line of thinking makes sense, but is entirely flawed in the way it was executed.
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excellent point...that being said, who's the idiot that actually bet money on serra getting the KO? lol
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